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Travel
News, December, 2006
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Travel
ban could check SARS spread
London: Infections like SARS can
be curbed by half if a travel ban is imposed, a medical study in Sweden
has suggested. In the study published today in the open access journal
BMC Medicine, simulated infection scenarios show that banning trips longer
than 50 km would greatly reduce the spread of infection, even if 30 percent
of the population did not comply. Using data about all inter-city trips
carried out by 17,000 individuals during two assigned months, Martin Camitz,
from the Swedish Institute for Infectious Diseases Control and Fredrik
Liljeros, from Stockholm University tested scenarios where the infection
outbreak started in Stockholm and where travel between towns and cities
was subsequently restricted. The results of the simulations show that
restricting travel so that all trips further than 50 km are banned would
reduce the number of infected individuals by 50 percent and the number
of affected municipalities by over 80 percent. "The model and results
are robust and there is no reason to believe that the results are not
generally applicable to any country or region," the authors concluded.
-Dec 14, 2006
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